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Record warehouse demand and supply

Eurobuild CEE 14 February 2018

POLAND In 2017, developers completed 2.3 mln sqm of warehouse space, while tenants leased nearly 4.6 mln sqm. Both are record figures, according to Colliers International.

In 2017, the largest share of industrial space (app. 460,000 sqm) was delivered to the Warsaw market, followed by Upper Silesia (408,000 sqm), Poznań (212,000 sqm), Central Poland (app. 207,000 sqm) and Wrocław (almost 162,000 sqm. In terms of demand, Warsaw and Central Poland both lead the market with over 1 mln sqm leased. The vacancy rate declined in both regions – from 6.4 pct to 6.1 pct in Warsaw, and from 2 pct to 0.3 pct in the Łódź region (the lowest in Poland). Upper Silesia with almost 940,000 sqm leased is in the third place, and the vacancy rate has decreased as well.

“In all three regions, companies from the e-commerce sector had a large share of the demand. In Central Poland, tenants from this sector even dominated the leasing of warehouse space. Distribution companies were also very active in Mazovia, and production companies in the Katowice region,” said Maciej Chmielewski, senior partner at Colliers International, director of industrial and logistics agency.

Over 1.3 million sqm of industrial space is currently under construction in Poland, of which most is in Upper Silesia – app. 398,000 sqm, in Warsaw – 227,000 sqm and in Central Poland – 240,000 sqm. These locations will still see the greatest activity among tenants and developers, but demand and supply is also increasing in Western Poland due to the S3 highway.

Further development of smaller industrial markets can be expected in 2018 such as Białystok and Kielce. In Białystok, Panattoni is set to build three warehouses within one industrial park totalling 40,000 sqm.

“3PL [third party logistics], e-commerce and retail will hold dominant positions among sectors. Access to qualified labour and the proximity of academic centres will remain decisive factors in choosing locations for warehouses,” claimed Tomasz Kasperowicz a senior partner at Colliers International.

In 2018, there should be an increase in the number of BTS and BTO (build-to-own) projects.

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